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Tuesday, November 20, 2012
Thursday, November 15, 2012
FCX vs. SCCO
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From a fundamental persepective, Expansion costs and higher energy prices have led to a lower cash flow for FCX. On 7/30 they reported a neg cash flow of about 445M. On the balance sheet, that is the lowest level in 2 years they have made from operations. Southern Copper has a profit margin of 29% and operating margin of 53%, Freeport's profit margin is 17% and operating margin is 32%, making SCCO more likely to survive if copper prices should happen to depreciate any more than they have since 2011. Freeport also has its hand in the gold industry, so overall, if gold and copper prices fall, so will Freeport.
However, Freeports debt is sustainable and with a p/e ratio of 12.6, compared to Southern Coppers 15.2, prices are attractive in this area. Both are extremely attractive when compared to other miners, the average p/e for the metals and mining industry is 25.3.
Overall, I like FCX at 41 for a longer term hold. I like SCCO over today's (11/15) highs for a trade only. My personal opinion is to stay ALL CASH until the fiscal cliff is dealt with though. Until that happens, all markets (metals, equities, bonds) will probably remain choppy for the most part.
Wednesday, October 31, 2012
GOLD -- $GOLD $AUY $GG $RGLD
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Rangold is also looking decent. Nice bull flag forming, but I'd like to see this one above the moving averages and break out of this channel before pulling the trigger. MACD also looking like it should cross over soon.
Goldcorp is a long time favorite of mine. I've been watching the flag for about 2 weeks now, waiting for a long entry. However, I did not like that gap today. I would have much prefered a gap down or a flat open and a fade up to the current price to intiate a long position. Still on watch.
Royal Gold is probably my least favorite out of the gold plays. A possible HnS could form if it cant take out the highs, and they also report earnings tomorrow. If it breaks below the trendline, 80 (previous breakout) and 75 (200MA) would be good spots to take a look for an entry.
Wednesday, October 17, 2012
$ACI $ANR $JRCC $WLT #COAL
What the hell is not to like about coal right now? We've been long WLT November 35 calls from 1.65. As stated, our first price target was 39, which got hit at the eod today. Moving average crossovers, MACD crossovers, RSI heading higher....Coal Stocks are heading HIGHER, and any dips should be bought....
Wednesday, October 10, 2012
$BIDU
$AAPL
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$LULU
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